• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1610

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Tue Jul 8 22:47:33 2025
    ACUS11 KWNS 082247
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 082246=20 NYZ000-CTZ000-NJZ000-PAZ000-DEZ000-VAZ000-MDZ000-DCZ000-090045-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1610
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0546 PM CDT Tue Jul 08 2025

    Areas affected...Middle Atlantic

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 496...

    Valid 082246Z - 090045Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 496
    continues.

    SUMMARY...Scattered strong-severe thunderstorms will spread across
    eastern and southern portions of ww496 over the next several hours.
    Damaging winds are the primary concern.

    DISCUSSION...Loosely organized band of strong-severe thunderstorms
    is spreading across the Middle Atlantic early this evening. This
    activity is propagating across an instability axis characterized by
    MLCAPE on the order of 2000 J/kg. Surface temperatures are holding
    near 90F along the coast and modest westerly flow should encourage a
    robust squall line to spread offshore over the next several hours.
    Damaging winds can be expected with this convection.

    ..Darrow.. 07/08/2025

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!7KfoCrfmZwMporD6AlACAK9beMZ6wnpcsBZ4YEnaAv9YgTj_rlQ2FrA2M983Fbb64LATLEVTm= f-ARq8ja9R-8TJqCgU$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...OKX...PHI...BGM...AKQ...CTP...LWX...RNK...

    LAT...LON 37007963 41137559 41137271 36997691 37007963=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH


    =3D =3D =3D
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