• TS Chantal Rain Carolinas

    From Mike Powell@1:2320/105 to All on Sun Jul 6 10:41:00 2025
    189
    WTNT33 KNHC 061150
    TCPAT3

    BULLETIN
    Tropical Storm Chantal Intermediate Advisory Number 7A
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032025
    800 AM EDT Sun Jul 06 2025

    ...FLASH FLOODING REMAINS A THREAT AS RAINBANDS FROM CHANTAL
    MOVE INLAND ACROSS NORTHEASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA AND EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA...


    SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...34.0N 79.2W
    ABOUT 15 MI...25 KM NW OF CONWAY SOUTH CAROLINA
    ABOUT 80 MI...130 KM W OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

    None

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

    A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
    * South Santee River, SC to Surf City, NC

    A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
    expected somewhere within the warning area.

    For storm information specific to your area, including possible
    inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
    local National Weather Service forecast office.


    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ----------------------
    At 800 AM EDT (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Chantal was
    located near latitude 34.0 North, longitude 79.2 West. Chantal is
    moving toward the north-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h). A turn
    northward and then northeastward is anticipated over the next 24
    hours. On the forecast track, the center of Chantal is expected to
    move further inland over South Carolina and then North Carolina
    through the day today.

    Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 40 mph (65 km/h)
    with higher gusts. Additional weakening is expected as Chantal
    moves inland, and the system is forecast to degenerate into a
    trough of low pressure on Monday.

    Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
    mainly over water to the southeast of the center. In the past
    couple of hours, a sustained wind of 33 mph (54 km/h) with a gust to
    47 mph (76 km/h) was reported at Coastal Research and Monitoring
    Program buoy just off Sunset Beach, North Carolina.

    The estimated minimum central pressure based on nearby surface
    observations is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    Key messages for Tropical Storm Chantal can be found in the
    Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3 and WMO
    header WTNT43 KNHC.

    WIND: Tropical storm conditions will continue within portions of
    the warning area this morning.

    RAINFALL: Tropical Storm Chantal is expected to produce heavy
    rainfall across portions of northeastern South Carolina today and
    across portions of North Carolina through Monday. Storm total
    rainfall of 2 to 4 inches, with local amounts up to 6 inches, is
    expected. This would result in an elevated risk for flash flooding.

    For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding
    associated with Tropical Storm Chantal, please see the National
    Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at3.shtml?rainqpf

    TORNADOES: Isolated tornadoes will be possible today across portions
    of eastern North Carolina and extreme northeastern South Carolina.

    SURF: Chantal is expected to bring life-threatening surf and rip
    currents to portions of the coast from northeastern Florida to
    the Mid-Atlantic states during the next day or so.

    A depiction of rip current risk for the United States can be found
    at: hurricanes.gov/refresh/graphics_at3+shtml/?ripCurrents


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    Next complete advisory at 1100 AM EDT.

    $$
    Forecaster Brown
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