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  • MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0104

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Sun Feb 16 11:52:16 2025
    ACUS11 KWNS 160652
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 160651=20
    GAZ000-NCZ000-TNZ000-ALZ000-FLZ000-MSZ000-160845-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0104
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    1251 AM CST Sun Feb 16 2025

    Areas affected...Alabama...Florida Panhandle...Georgia...Southeast Tennessee...Far Western North Carolina

    Concerning...Tornado Watch 10...

    Valid 160651Z - 160845Z

    The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 10 continues.

    SUMMARY...A severe threats for wind damage and a few tornadoes will
    move quickly eastward across into western and northern Georgia, and
    across the remainder of southern and eastern Alabama during the
    early morning. New weather watch will be necessary ahead of the
    ongoing line.

    DISCUSSION...A mid-level trough will move quickly eastward across
    the lower to mid Mississippi Valley over the next few hours, as a
    surface low moves into the central Appalachians. An associated front
    is located over the central Gulf Coast states, with an organized
    squall line located ahead of the front. A narrow corridor of
    instability is analyzed ahead of the front, with surface dewpoints
    generally in the 60s F. In addition, RAP analysis shows a strong low
    to mid-level jet from eastern Mississippi northeastward into the
    southern Appalachians. 0-6 km shear is estimated to be in 65 to 80
    knot range along this corridor and storm-relative helicity is very
    strong. This will continue to support a widespread severe threat
    over the next few hours. Severe gusts will be likely along the
    leading edge of the squall line and a few tornadoes also possible.

    ..Broyles.. 02/16/2025

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!4aNlnnVYC94P-SO1tDjtrqsTfPC-o0J1EsgrQ0c48Dv-RQx2fv_WrgiTGkdOlVi8jJIQCVCUU= hOxLDrgLTwROpAa9lw$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...GSP...MRX...FFC...TAE...BMX...HUN...MOB...

    LAT...LON 34728355 35078390 35238439 35298503 35128586 34488656
    33398730 32278817 31678850 31228835 30898805 30648741
    30618652 30828569 31678489 32228456 33938362 34728355=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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