ACUS11 KWNS 130311
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 130310=20
ALZ000-FLZ000-MSZ000-130445-

Mesoscale Discussion 0092
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0910 PM CST Wed Feb 12 2025

Areas affected...southern AL

Concerning...Tornado Watch 6...7...

Valid 130310Z - 130445Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 6, 7 continues.

SUMMARY...Tornado and isolated damaging wind potential will persist
into the overnight across parts of southern Alabama. A strong
tornado remains possible, mainly through late evening.

DISCUSSION...After a couple potentially strong tornadoes earlier
this evening, a relative lull in convective intensity has been
recently observed. With a lack of mid-level height falls across the
warm-moist sector, in conjunction with a filling surface cyclone
tonight, overall severe potential may have peaked. Still, strong
low-level shear (0-1 km SRH around 350 m2/s2 per MOB VWP data) and
upper 60s to low 70s surface dew points in much of the warm-moist
sector, will remain favorable for a strong tornado with any
sustained supercells along the slow-moving warm front. While the
western portion of the front has been modified by prior convective
outflow, the eastern portion of this boundary arced through
Montgomery to Barbour County, AL (the MGM ASOS measured a 9 F
temperature rise in 10 minutes during passage). It should continue
advancing north in/towards the I-85 corridor, increasing tornado
potential into this region later tonight.

..Grams.. 02/13/2025

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!9VewU6481iqDDubkFXmiDfXF0jwlmpOCf9O8gXdi2nQXv5mgygXGgWSVnby8fR6kdpEu-oN30= GuS_yP63e-9u5VGWOc$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...TAE...BMX...MOB...

LAT...LON 31568854 32078808 32428727 32728639 32808577 32788534
32678510 32268512 31898526 31328596 30988684 30838768
30858830 31168865 31568854=20


=3D =3D =3D
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