ACUS11 KWNS 161536
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 161535=20
VAZ000-161700-

Mesoscale Discussion 0273
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1035 AM CDT Mon Mar 16 2026

Areas affected...portions of central Virginia

Concerning...Tornado Watch 66...67...

Valid 161535Z - 161700Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 66, 67 continues.

SUMMARY...A locally more favorable severe weather corridor exists
over the next 2 to 3 hours across portions of central Virginia.

DISCUSSION...Temperatures have increased to the mid to upper 60s in
a narrow zone from south-central Virginia into east-central Virginia
late this morning. Some breaks in the clouds remain across this
region which may permit some additional warming. The line of storms
near the NC/VA border are also more favorably oriented for a greater
damaging wind/QLCS tornado threat. Additionally, mid-level flow is
rapidly strengthening with the FCX VWP showing mid-level flow
increasing from 60 knots to 80 knots over the last 2 hours.=20

Therefore, this corridor from Halifax to Hanover County may have a
greater severe weather threat over the next 2 to 3 hours.

..Bentley/Thompson.. 03/16/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!62KfoejKiLOMXVZErR3QibEH_vrIRQ8aqfsxFMj8-g91bInq7mYg1gFEELTFILXyPvgmCerky= chyJ6FgsqDzrfVki0M$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...LWX...RNK...

LAT...LON 36587862 36687950 36917945 37387927 37827853 38117799
38317770 38287739 37637725 36807829 36587862=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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