ACUS11 KWNS 200344
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 200343=20
KSZ000-200445-

Mesoscale Discussion 2105
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1043 PM CDT Fri Sep 19 2025

Areas affected...South-central Kansas

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 615...

Valid 200343Z - 200445Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 615
continues.

SUMMARY...Strong to intermittently severe convection will persist as
WW 0615 expires. No downstream WW issuance is expected at this time.

DISCUSSION...Warm air advection associated with a nocturnal
low-level jet will continue to support thunderstorms into the
overnight hours -- some of which may be capable of isolated
incidents of hail or damaging wind gusts. However, no further WW
issuance is expected at this time.

..Halbert.. 09/20/2025

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!6wnQWww0ZBH5PGix240Fe1UD01alCztTwUFMxgDDy8h1WXhe7lzqUFpEWu2QWfyD-iEJQsjhZ= 5CciNcuYpYv6V_p-aw$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...ICT...DDC...

LAT...LON 38420044 38619996 38539937 38179875 37899841 37689816
37449811 37219837 37089869 37079925 37089965 37129997
37370023 37980044 38420044=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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